Coffee Industry Daily Review: Market Volatility, New Product Launches, and Expansion Strategies

Coffee Market and Production Trends

Coffee futures rebounded sharply on October 13, 2025, with the benchmark price rising to 385.20 US cents per pound, up 3.26% from the previous day, according to Trading Economics data (Trading Economics, 14 October 2025, https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/coffee). Despite a 7.77% decline over the past month, prices remain 47.41% higher than a year ago. The rally was attributed to forecasts of rainfall in Brazil’s main producing regions and market optimism about potential reductions in US tariffs on Brazilian coffee. However, traders remain cautious due to ongoing concerns about intense heat and insufficient rainfall during Brazil’s critical flowering period for the 2026 harvest. Meanwhile, Colombia has reported its best coffee production year in over three decades, supported by favorable weather and crop renewal (Trading Economics, 14 October 2025, https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/coffee).

Market volatility and high prices continue to challenge the industry, with the NY “C” market setting 19 historically high levels in 2025 and experiencing unusually wide daily swings. The introduction of US tariffs on Brazilian coffee in April 2025 has further strained supply chains, forcing companies to rebuild pricing models and protect margins. Demand, however, has remained resilient despite these pressures. Key factors sustaining high prices include weather risks in Brazil, US import tariffs, and declining certified stocks (Royal New York, October 2025, https://www.royalny.com/blogs/coffee-prices-and-tariffs/).

Coffee Brands and Product News

Grind, the London-based specialty coffee group, has launched its first craft instant coffee range, aiming to capture a larger share of the UK’s at-home coffee market. This move marks Grind’s entry into the instant segment, reflecting broader industry efforts to diversify product offerings and meet evolving consumer preferences (World Coffee Portal, 13 October 2025, https://www.worldcoffeeportal.com/news/grind-sets-sights-on-uk-instant-coffee-market-with-new-product-launch/).

Thai coffee chain Café Amazon is refocusing its international expansion strategy, prioritizing growth in Laos, the Philippines, Japan, Oman, and Bahrain, while likely withdrawing from Vietnam. This shift underscores the brand’s adaptive approach to regional market dynamics and competitive pressures (Global Coffee Report, 14 October 2025, https://www.gcrmag.com/cafe-amazon-refocusing-on-key-international-expansion/).

Coffee Machines, Equipment, and Technology

No significant new product launches or innovations in coffee machines or equipment were reported today by major industry portals or manufacturers. The sector’s focus remains on navigating supply chain disruptions and adapting to high input costs, as highlighted in recent market commentaries.

Regulatory and Supply Chain Updates

Market participants are closely monitoring the outcome of high-level talks between Brazil and the US, as hopes grow for a reduction in the 50% tariff on Brazilian coffee imports to the US. Clarity on this issue could significantly impact global trade flows and pricing dynamics in the coming months (Trading Economics, 14 October 2025, https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/coffee).

No new coffee-related regulations from national governments or international bodies were announced today. The industry continues to operate under existing frameworks, with attention focused on tariff policies and climate-related risks to production.

Disclaimer: This press review reports data and trends from third-party published sources. CoffeeBI is not responsible for the accuracy of the figures or the content of the original articles. For further insights or tailored analysis on the topic, feel free to contact CoffeeBI.