Coffee Market Update: Futures Rise, Prices Dip Dec 27

Coffee Futures Surge Amid Supply Pressures

Coffee futures advanced on December 26, 2025, driven by a heat wave in Brazil and flooding in Indonesia that pressured supplies. March arabica coffee rose 4.35 (+1.26%), while January ICE robusta settled up 42 (+1.06%) prior to holiday closure. Shrinking ICE inventories continue to support prices, with arabica stocks at a recent 2-month high of 456,477 bags.(IndexBox, December 26, 2025, https://www.indexbox.io/blog/coffee-futures-surge-on-december-26-2025-amid-supply-pressures/)

Vietnam Domestic Prices Slightly Decline

Coffee prices in Vietnam fell slightly by 200 VND/kg on December 27, 2025, reaching a high of 96,800 VND/kg. China increased purchases amid shifting market dynamics.(Bao Nghe An, December 27, 2025, https://baonghean.vn/en/gia-ca-phe-hom-nay-27-12-2025-giam-nhe-trung-quoc-tang-mua-10317155.html)

Arabica Futures Near 4-Month Lows on Harvest Pressure

Arabica coffee futures hovered around $3.40 per pound, close to mid-August lows, due to newly harvested beans and favorable weather in Brazil. Positive climate outlooks for late December and early 2026 aid flowering stages, though low inventories limit sharper declines.(Trading Economics, December 2025, https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/coffee/news/511840)

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