Coffee Market Update: Prices Rise on Brazil Rain Deficit

Coffee Prices Climb on Brazil Weather Concerns

Coffee futures settled higher amid below-average rainfall in Brazil’s key arabica regions, raising crop worries. March arabica coffee closed up 1.90 cents (+0.54%) while robusta gained 26 points (+0.67%). Minas Gerais received just 11.1 mm of rain for the week ended December 26, 17% of the historical average (Barchart.com, December 29, 2025, https://www.barchart.com/story/news/36817285/coffee-prices-settle-higher-on-slack-rainfall-in-brazil).

Coffee fell slightly to 349.69 USd/Lbs on December 29, down 0.16% daily but up 9.74% year-over-year. Forecasts predict trading at 348.85 USd/Lbs by quarter-end (Trading Economics, December 29, 2025, https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/coffee).

Canadian Coffee Prices Surge Amid Global Supply Issues

Canadian grocery coffee prices rose nearly 28% in November year-over-year due to higher unroasted bean costs from climate disruptions, drought, and disease. Roasters like Reunion Coffee are absorbing some increases while passing others to buyers (620ckrm.com / The Canadian Press, December 29, 2025, https://www.620ckrm.com/2025/12/29/in-the-news-shifting-trade-policies-high-coffee-prices-ukraine-peace-plan-talks/).

Vietnam Domestic Prices Hold Firm; Exports Hit Record

Vietnam coffee prices ranged 95,000-96,500 VND/kg on December 30 despite London market pressure, with exports reaching unprecedented levels this year (Báo Nghệ An, December 30, 2025, https://baonghean.vn/en/gia-ca-phe-hom-nay-30-12-2025-xuat-khau-dat-moc-chua-tung-co-10317644.html).

Disclaimer: This press review reports data and trends from third-party published sources. CoffeeBI is not responsible for the accuracy of the figures or the content of the original articles. For further insights or tailored analysis on the topic, feel free to contact CoffeeBI.