Coffee Market & Industry Daily Review – 6 Dec 2025

Brazil raises 2025 coffee crop forecast

Brazil’s National Supply Company (Conab) has increased its estimate for the country’s 2025 coffee crop to 56.5 million bags, up from 55.2 million bags in its September forecast and 4.3% higher than the previous year. The arabica harvest is now projected at 35.76 million bags, while robusta output is expected to reach a record 20.77 million bags. Improved weather conditions and higher average yields are cited as the main reasons for the upward revision. Strong buying interest from US roasters is also noted as a supportive factor in the market. (ADMIS, 6 December 2025)

Vietnam coffee exports exceed US$7.6 billion in 2025

Vietnam’s coffee export value has surpassed US$7.64 billion between January and mid-November 2025, according to the Import-Export Department under the Ministry of Industry and Trade. Total exports reached nearly 1.35 million tonnes, with over 1 million tonnes of robusta valued at US$5.54 billion and around 63,000 tonnes of arabica worth US$416 million. Export prices have driven strong value growth, with robusta exports up 60.5% in value and arabica up 108.4% year-on-year, despite more moderate volume increases of 11.8% and 8.2% respectively. (GCR Magazine, 6 December 2025)

Global coffee prices retreat amid supply concerns

Coffee prices declined on 5 December 2025, with benchmark arabica futures falling to 404.34 USd/lb, down 1.54% from the previous day. Over the past month, prices have risen 1.91% and are up 22.01% compared to the same period last year. The recent drop follows Conab’s upward revision of Brazil’s 2025 coffee crop and expectations of higher Vietnam robusta output in 2025/26. ICE-monitored arabica inventories recovered to a one-month high of 426,523 bags, while robusta stocks remain near multi-month lows. (Trading Economics, 6 December 2025)

Domestic Vietnamese coffee prices rise slightly

Domestic coffee prices in Vietnam increased slightly on 6 December 2025, with farmgate prices rising between 200 and 500 VND/kg. The rise comes amid strong export demand and a shift toward higher-value processed coffee, which has become a key growth driver for the sector. Export volumes and values have surged in 2025, supported by higher average prices and increased global demand. (Bao Nghe An, 6 December 2025)

Paris Brothers appoints new president amid record growth

Paris Brothers, the Kansas City-based manufacturer of specialty coffee and food products, has appointed Joe Mario Paris as president and chief operating officer. The leadership change comes amid record growth for the company, reflecting strong demand for its specialty coffee offerings. The new president will oversee operations and strategic direction as the company expands its specialty portfolio. (Perfect Daily Grind, 5 December 2025)

GS25 signs major supply deal with Franke

South Korea’s convenience store chain GS25 has signed a major supply agreement with Franke, a leading provider of coffee equipment and systems. The deal will support GS25’s in-store coffee offerings and is part of the retailer’s strategy to strengthen its beverage segment. Franke’s technology and service solutions will be deployed across GS25’s network to enhance coffee quality and operational efficiency. (Perfect Daily Grind, 5 December 2025)

Asia’s coffee demand reshapes global market dynamics

Asia is emerging as a new centre of gravity for global coffee demand, with consumption growing at a pace that outstrips Europe and North America. China’s café market now exceeds 50,000 stores, overtaking the US, while India’s coffee sector is projected to double by 2030. Domestic consumption in Vietnam and Indonesia is providing producers with greater resilience to global price swings. The region’s growth is driving investment in roasting, ready-to-drink production, and café technology, reshaping trade flows and brand strategies worldwide. (Coffee Intelligence, 6 December 2025)