Brazil Boosts 2025 Coffee Crop; Vietnam Exports Soar Amid Market Shifts

Brazil Raises 2025 Coffee Production Outlook

Brazil’s 2025 Arabica coffee production forecast has been increased to approximately 35.8 million bags, up from the earlier estimate of 35.2 million bags, although still below the 39.6 million bags recorded previously. Brazil continues to cultivate both Arabica and Conilon (Robusta) coffee varieties, each with distinct profiles and harvest schedules. Domestic production combined with imports is exceeding strong local demand, with November sales reaching near-record levels. Despite high offtake, substantial imports have prevented significant stock depletion, leaving inventories above last year’s levels entering December (Argus Media, 8 December 2025).

Vietnam Achieves Record Coffee Export Values

Vietnam’s coffee export sector is experiencing significant growth, with exports reaching nearly 1.35 million tonnes valued at US$7.64 billion by mid-November 2025. This represents a substantial year-on-year increase in export value, particularly for Robusta coffee, which saw a 60.5% rise to US$5.54 billion, and Arabica coffee, which more than doubled in value despite smaller volume increases. The surge is driven by higher export prices and expanding export capacity, marking a robust performance in the global coffee market (Global Coffee Report, 8 December 2025).

Zarraffa’s Coffee Expands in Australian Convenience Market

Australian specialty coffee chain Zarraffa’s Coffee is strategically growing its presence beyond Queensland, aiming to reach 200 stores nationally with a focus on drive-thru locations. The company credits its drive-thru model, introduced in 2009, as a key factor in sustained growth and resilience. Zarraffa’s supports coffee cooperatives worldwide, recently releasing a limited-edition Ethiopian Sidamo single origin, reinforcing its commitment to quality and ethical sourcing. Expansion plans target new markets in Victoria, South Australia, New South Wales, and Western Australia (BeanScene Magazine, 8 December 2025).

Innovative Coffee Equipment: Acaia Launches High-Precision Scale

Coffee equipment specialist Acaia has introduced the Pyxis Black, a compact coffee scale measuring 2.55 by 2.55 inches that delivers precision to the thousandth of a gram. This innovation targets specialty coffee professionals seeking enhanced accuracy for brewing consistency, supporting the evolving demands of quality-focused coffee preparation (Daily Coffee News, 8 December 2025).

Geographical Indications Strengthen Specialty Coffee Marketing

The use of Geographical Indications (GI) is gaining traction as an effective marketing tool in the coffee industry, enhancing product differentiation and authenticity. The Brazilian Cerrado Mineiro Region Seal of Origin exemplifies how GI certification can add value by emphasizing unique regional characteristics. However, challenges remain in maintaining certification integrity due to legal complexities and the impact of post-origin processing on coffee flavor profiles. Upcoming events like the Coffee Chain Auction by Expocacer will showcase GI-certified specialty lots, underscoring the growing importance of traceability and origin assurance in coffee marketing (Perfect Daily Grind, 8 December 2025).

Market and Price Trends

Global coffee prices remain elevated due to supply constraints from adverse weather in key producing regions like Brazil and Vietnam, despite short-term declines. Coffee futures hovered near $4.1 per pound following tariff removals on Brazilian coffee imports by the US, although instant coffee remains excluded. Price volatility continues amid concerns over demand slowdowns in Europe and the US, while stock levels are near historic lows, supporting price resilience (Trading Economics, 8 December 2025).

Disclaimer: This press review reports data and trends from third-party published sources. CoffeeBI is not responsible for the accuracy of the figures or the content of the original articles. For further insights or tailored analysis on the topic, feel free to contact CoffeeBI.