CoffeeBI | Coffee Business Intelligence

Arabica and Robusta prices rebound on global supply concerns Global coffee prices rose on December 10, 2025, driven by renewed concerns over supply tightness in both Arabica and Robusta markets. On the New York ICE exchange, Arabica futures showed strong gains across all nearby contracts, with the December 2025 contract up 3.45 cents/lb to 399.50 cents/lb, while the May 2026 contract climbed 6.00 cents/lb to 354.80 cents/lb. The rally reflects growing market anxiety over Brazil’s 2025–26 Arabica crop, which is under pressure from prolonged dry conditions in Minas Gerais and irregular flowering patterns. At the same time, London Robusta also ...

Brazil Coffee Production Forecast Revised UpwardsBrazil's 2025/26 coffee harvest is projected to reach 56.54 million bags, marking the third-largest output on record despite a typical off-year for Arabica, according to Conab's updated estimate. Robusta production is expected to hit a record 20.8 million bags, while Arabica is forecasted to decrease by 9.7% due to adverse weather and flowering conditions in key regions. This increase in supply contributed to a decline in coffee futures prices, with New York's Arabica contracts falling nearly 1.5% to 374.34 cents per pound and London contracts down 5.9% since December began. The easing of the EU ...

Brazil Raises 2025 Coffee Production Outlook Brazil's 2025 Arabica coffee production forecast has been increased to approximately 35.8 million bags, up from the earlier estimate of 35.2 million bags, although still below the 39.6 million bags recorded previously. Brazil continues to cultivate both Arabica and Conilon (Robusta) coffee varieties, each with distinct profiles and harvest schedules. Domestic production combined with imports is exceeding strong local demand, with November sales reaching near-record levels. Despite high offtake, substantial imports have prevented significant stock depletion, leaving inventories above last year’s levels entering December (Argus Media, 8 December 2025). Vietnam Achieves Record Coffee Export ...

Brazil Boosts 2025 Coffee Crop EstimatesBrazil's National Supply Company (Conab) raised its coffee crop forecast for 2025 to 56.5 million bags, up 4.3% from the previous year and exceeding earlier estimates of 55.2 million bags. Arabica production is expected to reach 35.76 million bags, while robusta is forecasted at a record 20.77 million bags. Improved weather conditions and better average yields supported this revision. The rise in output has attracted strong buying interest from U.S. roasters, particularly after the removal of tariffs on Brazilian agricultural goods, which has bolstered market confidence. ICE certified arabica stocks also increased to their highest ...

Brazil raises 2025 coffee crop forecast Brazil’s National Supply Company (Conab) has increased its estimate for the country’s 2025 coffee crop to 56.5 million bags, up from 55.2 million bags in its September forecast and 4.3% higher than the previous year. The arabica harvest is now projected at 35.76 million bags, while robusta output is expected to reach a record 20.77 million bags. Improved weather conditions and higher average yields are cited as the main reasons for the upward revision. Strong buying interest from US roasters is also noted as a supportive factor in the market. (ADMIS, 6 December 2025) ...