Despite the previous Ico’s previsions, which forecasted an increase in coffee production, according to the recent Ico’s report, in 2018, Global coffee production was estimated at 158.56 million bags, 0.3% lower than 2017.
- Arabica output is expected to decline by 6.6% to 97.16 million bags
- Robusta production is predicted to grow by 11.5% to 61.40 million bags
In regards to the major coffee producers:
- South America production is 8.2% lower at 70.57 million bags
- Africa’s production is estimated to rise by 5.3% to 17.63 million bags
- In Asia & Oceania. production is estimated to rise by 7.9% to 48.44 million bags
- In Mexico & Central America, will rise 7% to 21.92 million bags
Total exports in May 2018 amounted to 9.27 million bags, 12.4% lower than in the same month one year ago. Robusta exports saw a decrease of 4.4% to 3.65 million bags while Arabica shipments fell by 17% to 5.62 million bags.
Fig. 1 – Global exports and production
The Ico sheet below reports total coffee exports in the principal countries
- Exports in Brazil were 1.7 million bags in May 2018, lower by5%
- Vietnam’s exports are estimated at 2.4 million bags, 20.5% higher than May 2017 and Its shipments increased 17.7% to 19.41 million bags from October 2017 to May 2018
- Colombia’s exports are an estimated 15.1% higher, at 960,000 bags, than in 2017, and total shipments declined by 7% to 8.58 million bags in the first eight months of coffee year 2018
- Honduras’s exports were 747,591 bags, 25.7% lower than 2017, while total shipments in the first eight months of the coffee year 2018 were relatively unchanged at 4.9 million bags
- India’s exports were about 1,500 bags lower than one year ago, at 630,993 bags
- Indonesia’s exports are an estimated 55.2% lower, at 350,000 bags, in May 2018, and its exports for October 2017 through May 2018 were2% lower, at 3.89 million bags.
- Ethiopia’s exports in May 2018 decreased by 11.5% to 396,814 bags, but its exports for October 2017 to May 2018 increased 12.6% to 2.26 million bags.
- Shipments from Uganda declined by 21.9% in May 2018 compared to May 2017, reaching 319,035 bags, but are 8.1% higher than in April 2018
Fig.2 – Total exports in May